By Harsh Bhojwani
On the surface, Parag Milk Foods looks like any other dairy company. Cheese, ghee, flavored milk — the usual shelves, the usual colors. But if you sit with the numbers long enough, something curious appears.
A quiet shift in what India is eating. A slow rise in the categories that were once side-characters — cheese, whey protein, premium milk delivered before sunrise. It is here, in these quieter corners, that Parag is trying to build its future. And like most futures, this one is not guaranteed.
But it has hints.
Clues.
Small moves that reveal themselves only when you look closely.
The Shift Happening in India’s Kitchen
For years, India’s dairy story revolved around liquid milk. A low-margin, high-volume world where the biggest player — Amul — built a fortress.
But something changed.
Urban kitchens started experimenting. Pizza ovens heated up. Cafés mushroomed.
Gyms filled with people looking for protein. A new India quietly demanded cheese, whey protein, Greek yogurt, and premium farm-fresh milk. These are the categories where Parag has placed its bets.
Not loudly.
Not dramatically.
Just slowly and steadily, like someone rearranging furniture while everyone else is asleep.
The Product Mix They Don’t Talk About Enough
Parag’s real strength is not the milk pouch.
It is the mix behind the scenes.
High-margin zones:
- Cheese
- Ghee
- Whey protein (Avvatar)
- Premium milk (Pride of Cows)
Moderate-margin zones:
- Paneer
- Dahi
- Flavoured milk
Low-margin zones:
- Commodity milk
- Skimmed milk powder
When you map Parag’s revenue, something striking emerges:
Most of its money now comes from value-added products — the categories where branding matters, not just procurement.
But this mix is also the company’s biggest gamble.
Cheese and ghee are powerful engines.
They are also categories competitors have quietly begun to eye.
And that brings us to the moat.
The Moat: A Shape Still Forming
Parag’s moat is real — but not complete.
It is like a castle under construction.
What’s strong:
- Leadership in cheese
- Deep relationship with HORECA customers
- Clean whey (a rarity in India)
- Pride of Cows — a premium subscription model
- Brand presence in value-added dairy
What’s fragile:
- Procurement dependence
- Distribution strength compared to the giants
- Working-capital swings
- Past execution delays
Parag is not unchallenged.
But its strongest moat — cheese — is also the one it is doubling down on.
Cheese: The Silent Center of the Story
If you want to understand Parag’s defence strategy, look at cheese.
They doubled capacity
60 MT/day → 120 MT/day.
Not because demand exploded overnight,
but because they expect it to.
And because capacity itself is a moat.
A restaurant chain won’t switch to a competitor if the competitor cannot guarantee supply on a busy weekend.
They widened their SKU net
Small cube packs, slice packs, mozzarella blocks, shredded cheese, cheese singles.
Each SKU is a nail in the shelf that holds the customer in place.
They leaned on the GO Cheese brand
A name consumers recognise,
and retailers rely on.
They deepened their HORECA ties
In the restaurant world, consistency is god.
If your cheese burns instead of melting,
you’re out.
Parag has spent years perfecting that consistency.
That is why this category is hard for rivals to snatch.
But even here, the shadows remain.
What if Amul decides this category is worth fighting for?
What if Britannia sees the same opportunity?
The future depends on how Parag answers those questions
Premiumisation: The Quiet Climb Upwards
Two products define Parag’s attempt to move from dairy to FMCG:
1. Pride of Cows
Milk that is delivered like a subscription.
A luxury product,
priced for the top 1–2% of households.
Not scalable like a milk pouch —
but incredibly sticky once a customer signs up.
2. Avvatar Whey
A rare Indian competitor to imported protein.
Grown quietly.
Certified.
Trusted.
But here lies a mystery:
Is it profitable on its own?
Management celebrates growth, but profitability is never clearly disclosed.
A missing piece in the puzzle.
Procurement: The Old Weakness They’re Trying to Fix
Parag has always been at the mercy of raw milk prices.
When procurement costs rise, margins evaporate.
When they fall, margins rebound like magic.
To break this cycle, they are building:
- Large farms
- Chilling centres
- Direct procurement networks
- A massive integrated farm in Nashik
But farms take time.
Cows don’t scale like machines.
This is a slow moat.
A patient one.
And until it matures, volatility will remain.
Margins: The Unfinished Battle
Investors want 12–14% EBITDA margins.
Parag hovers around 8–10%.
Why the gap?
Because dairy is not only about selling.
It is about timing.
Seasons.
Milk cycles.
Channel mix.
Inventory build-up in cheese and ghee.
Parag has the right product mix for higher margins.
But the company has not yet proven that it can hold those margins in both good years and bad.
The story is still unfolding here.
Competition: The Quiet Footsteps Behind Them
When you stand in Parag’s shoes, you can hear the footsteps approaching.
Amul — the giant with infinite supply
Hatsun — the best private-sector operator
Dodla — efficient and disciplined
Britannia/Nestlé — brands with deep pockets and deep trust
Any of them can enter cheese or premium dairy more aggressively.
Parag’s answer is simple but sincere:
We will rely on capacity, SKU breadth, quality, and relationships.
Whether that is enough — the next years will tell.
The Missing Answers
Some things management openly discusses.
Some things stay behind a curtain.
What they say clearly:
- Cheese leadership
- Capacity expansion
- Value-added growth
- Premiumisation
- Farm expansion
What stays vague:
- Exact milk self-sufficiency timeline
- Pride of Cows expansion numbers
- Avvatar’s standalone profitability
- Cold-chain capex roadmap
- Guaranteed time-bound margin targets
These gaps don’t break the story.
But they make it more interesting.
More… unfinished.
So Where Is Parag Milk Going?
If you step back and look at the company as a whole,
you see a business trying to evolve.
From dairy to FMCG.
From commodity to premium.
From dependence to control.
From volume to value.
It is a company with momentum,
but also with shadows.
A company with strong hints of a moat,
but still building the foundation.
A company where the real story is not in what they say,
but in the small moves they keep making,
quarter after quarter,
quietly, patiently.
Conclusion: A Story Still Being Written
Parag Milk is not a finished story.
It is a story that is converging —
product mix, brand strength, premiumisation, supply control, and cheese dominance.
But the ending depends on what comes next:
- Will margins finally climb into FMCG territory?
- Will owned milk supply become stable enough?
- Will Pride of Cows and Avvatar scale without losing their shine?
- And most importantly,
can Parag hold its ground when the giants arrive at the same battlefield?
For now, the clues point toward promise.
But the mystery remains open.
And perhaps that is what makes Parag Milk such an interesting company to watch —
not because it has arrived,
but because it is trying to.
In a market full of noise,
this is a quiet story.
A slow story.
But one worth following.
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